Absolute versus relative risk: read the numbers behind a claim
A hypothetical worked example shows why a percentage reduction needs a baseline risk, a defined outcome and a time frame before it becomes useful.
What the evidence supports, what it does not, and how sure we are.
Every review on this site carries one of three verdicts, and the verdict applies to the claim as stated — not to the general idea behind it.
A verdict of insufficient is not a statement that something does not work. It is a statement that the evidence does not currently justify the claim being made for it, which in a market built on confident claims is the more useful answer.
Detection alone does not establish a net health benefit. Read the source-based review below.
Findings need clinical context and follow-up; a scan result is not a treatment decision.
A screening result cannot answer every health question or predict future disease.
| Question | General screening | Diagnostic investigation |
|---|---|---|
| Why is it proposed? | Check for disease before symptoms | Investigate a defined concern |
| What should be explained? | Evidence of benefit, harms and follow-up | How the test could change care |
| Who decides suitability? | You and a qualified clinician | You and the treating team |
A hypothetical worked example shows why a percentage reduction needs a baseline risk, a defined outcome and a time frame before it becomes useful.
A change in an aging marker is not, on its own, proof of extra healthy years. Separate the measurement, its intended use and the clinical outcome it is supposed to predict.
Record the claim, study population, comparison, outcomes and harms before deciding what the evidence does and does not establish.
The purpose of a test changes the evidence it needs. Compare screening, investigation of symptoms and follow-up of an abnormal result before evaluating a claim.
Whole-body MRI can detect abnormalities, but detection alone does not establish a health benefit. A source-based review of incidental findings, follow-up and uncertainty.
Read the rest of the eligibility criteria before applying a result to a different population. A cardiovascular trial provides a concrete example of why one absent condition does not define overall health.
For the limitations of the evidence reviewed, see the whole-body MRI article listed here. A detection rate is not a survival benefit, and a normal scan is not a promise about future health.